When it comes to success for head coaches in the NFL, many factors come into play—talent, strategy, and sometimes even a bit of luck—such as Mike Tomlin inheriting Ben Roethlisberger as QB1.
However, the real formula for long-term success—the difference maker—boils down to a successful coach mastering the art of identifying and nurturing talent on cheap rookie contract deals and replacing those rookie contract with additional productive rookie contract deals on a yearly basis. Look at it this way: t's not keeping those great rookie players when they become expensive, rather it's getting more great value on rookie deals to replace the ones that leave as costly free agents. Of course, there are a few you keep, such as your TJ Watts of thew world.
Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin has done all this with mediocre efficiency over the past ten years and hence has a mediocre record the past few years as a result.
A good coach must excel at recognizing which young players can contribute significantly while still on their rookie contracts. Take the example of Brandon Aiyuk of the San Francisco 49ers—yes, the guy that may be reverse playing the Steelers to leverage a good contract with his current team.
Aiyuk' s Pro Bowl-level productivity on a rookie contract deal helped transform the 49ers into a Super Bowl contender the past couple years. Last year, he had 75 catches for 1,342 yards and 7 TDs.
His productivity on a rookie contract makes Aiyuk prime trade bate for the 49ers, but if we are to land him, we pay the ransom, not them.
Our value per dollar will be less by virtue of the big contract especially considering the likelihood that he will not greatly surpass his statistical season last year. Will he be a 1600, 1700 yard plus receiver.? Not likely with long in the tooth Russell Wilson or erratic Justin Fields at the QB1 spot.
The key is to get a few stars in the making who can deliver exceptional performance without breaking the bank. and get them early and producing often.
Tomlin had success with guys like former running back Le'Veon Bell and today, running back Najee Harris. Najee Harris has been a consistent performer for the Pittsburgh Steelers since being drafted in the first round of the 2021 NFL Draft. He has over 3,000 yards rushing, 22 rushing touchdowns. Moreover, he also notched 800 yards receiving and 6 receiving TDs. This was a good rookie contract.
Unfortunately, few other names, come to mind.
What about the big top dollar contracts? yes, you need your TJ Watts of the world, but you better have some good players on the rise on rookie deals to win a super bowl. The Steelers simply don't have prime talent on rookie deals besides Harris. Heck, our vaunted lineman Broderick Jones, a high number one pick, got manhandled in a recent preseason game for crying out loud. Joey Porter, Jr. was decent though at cornerback. That was a lone positive.
This ongoing struggle with rookie talent raises a critical question for fans and analysts alike: Is Mike Tomlin truly as effective a coach as his long-standing reputation suggests, or has he faltered in managing the crucial balance between nurturing talent and adhering to budget constraints? Of course, you can't leave Steelers General Manager Omar Khan off the hook. It really is the Tomlin-Khan combo that is responsible for both acquiring the talent as Tomlin certainly has a say. Now if the talent doesn't pan out whose fault is it? Is it Tomlin's for not developing the talent properly or was it Kahn's because the talent was never there to begin with?
As the NFL landscape evolves, it becomes increasingly important for coaches to adapt their strategies, and the Steelers' recent performance may indicate a need for re-evaluation of their approach to both talent acquisition and team management.
Ultimately, the ability to navigate rookie contracts and develop that talent into top notch talent while keeping an eye on salary cap limitations distinguishes good coaches from great ones in the competitive world of the NFL.
For seasoned coaches like Mike Tomlin and his peers, the challenge is not just evident; it's a critical aspect of their roles that can significantly affect team performance and long-term success.
They must skillfully balance developing young talent while managing financial constraints that come with maintaining a robust roster. The lingering question is: will they rise to the occasion and demonstrate their prowess in overcoming these hurdles, showcasing their strategic acumen and leadership skills? Or will it just be more of the same-old same-old Steelers, eh—Mike Tomlin's— Way? That questions should be answered by the end of the season and it may come down to one player on a rookie contractor and that player is George Pickens.
George Pickens, the highly-touted rookie wide receiver out of Georgia, has the potential to be a game-changer for the Steelers. With his impressive physical abilities and strong football senses, he could become the next young star on a budget-friendly rookie contract that Tomlin and Khan can develop into a top performer.
However, it remains to be seen if they will take advantage of this opportunity and continue to improve their track record when it comes to nurturing rookie talent. If not, it is going to be one long season.